Health Care Cost Increases Remain High: Aon Consulting Study
05 Giugno 2007 - 8:44PM
PR Newswire (US)
Current increases are more than four times general inflation rates
CHICAGO, June 5 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Health care costs are
expected to increase on average 11 percent in the next 12
months,(1) according to Aon Consulting, the human capital
consulting organization of Aon Corporation (NYSE:AOC). While costs
continue to rise at double-digit rates, the current trend rate has
declined more than four percentage points since fall 2001, when the
projection was 15.6 percent. (Logo:
http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20041215/CGW049LOGO) Aon
Consulting surveyed more than 70 leading health care insurers
(representing more than 100 million insured individuals) and found
that health care costs are projected to increase by 10.9 percent
for HMOs, 10.8 percent for POS plans, 11.2 percent for PPOs and
10.7 percent for CDH plans. This represents rates of increase lower
than one year ago, when HMO cost increases were 12.2 percent, 11.9
percent for POS plans, 12.4 percent for PPOs and 12.5 percent for
CDH plans. (See below for a table outlining trend data from Aon
Consulting's prior health care surveys.) "Although it is
encouraging to see a continuing decline in health care trend rates,
employers are still challenged by the fact that health care cost
increases are more than four times general inflation rates, said
Bill Sharon, senior vice president with Aon Consulting and director
of the study. "For many businesses, health care costs continue to
be their fastest growing expense." According to Sharon, there are a
variety of reasons for the double-digit health care cost increases,
including: -- Increasing patient demand for health care services as
the population ages; -- Rising medical technology and hospital
costs; -- Increasing price and utilization of prescription drugs;
-- Poor lifestyle choices. "Fortunately, employers have a number of
strategies at their disposal to reduce the rate of these
increases," Sharon explained. "Some of the more successful
strategies consist of implementing consumer driven health care
plans, chronic condition management programs and health promotion
programs. Coupled with plan design changes and/or employee
contribution changes these strategies can reduce an employer's
health care cost increase by more than half." Health care rate
increases for retirees over the age of 65 are projected to be 11.2
percent for Medicare Supplement plans and 9.2 percent for Medicare
Advantage plans. "We believe the lower Medicare Advantage trend
rate is due to favorable government reimbursement rates and the
competitive market for these plans," said Jonathan Nemeth, senior
vice president with Aon Consulting. For prescription drugs, general
pharmacy costs are expected to increase by 9.5 percent, compared
with 12.2 percent one year ago. Specialty drug costs will increase
by 15.1 percent, down from 17 percent from spring 2006. (Specialty
drugs are biotechnology-derived injectable medications used
primarily to treat high-cost disease states.) Aon Consulting
conducts the Health Care Trends Survey every six months to ensure
that its human capital clients and the industry on the whole have
an up-to-date point of reference for planning purposes. The study
is available for downloading at
http://www.aon.com/us/busi/hc_consulting/hw_redirect.jsp About Aon
(http://www.aon.com/) is a leading provider of risk management
services, insurance and reinsurance brokerage, human capital and
management consulting, and specialty insurance underwriting. There
are 43,000 employees working in Aon's 500 offices in more than 120
countries. Backed by broad resources, industry knowledge and
technical expertise, Aon professionals help a wide range of clients
develop effective risk management and workforce productivity
solutions. Aon Consulting Worldwide (http://www.aon.com/hcc) is
among the top global human capital consulting firms, with 2006
revenues of $1.282 billion and 6,500 professionals in 117 offices
worldwide. Aon Consulting is reshaping the workplace of the future
through benefits, talent management and rewards strategies and
solutions. In August 2006, Aon Consulting was named the best
employee benefit consulting firm by the readers of Business
Insurance magazine. This press release contains certain statements
related to future results, or states our intentions, beliefs and
expectations or predictions for the future which are
forward-looking statements as that term is defined in the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking
statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that
could cause actual results to differ materially from either
historical or anticipated results depending on a variety of
factors. Potential factors that could impact results include:
general economic conditions in different countries in which we do
business around the world, changes in global equity and fixed
income markets that could affect the return on invested assets,
fluctuations in exchange and interest rates that could influence
revenue and expense, rating agency actions that could affect our
ability to borrow funds, funding of our various pension plans,
changes in the competitive environment, our ability to implement
restructuring initiatives and other initiatives intended to yield
cost savings, our ability to execute the stock repurchase program,
our ability to obtain regulatory or legislative changes to permit
continuous sales of our supplemental Medicare health product,
changes in commercial property and casualty markets and commercial
premium rates that could impact revenues, changes in revenues and
earnings due to the elimination of contingent commissions, other
uncertainties surrounding a new compensation model, the impact of
investigations brought by state attorneys general, state insurance
regulators, federal prosecutors, and federal regulators, the impact
of class actions and individual lawsuits including client class
actions, securities class actions, derivative actions, ERISA class
actions, the impact of the analysis of practices relating to stock
options, the cost of resolution of other contingent liabilities and
loss contingencies, and the difference in ultimate paid claims in
our underwriting companies from actuarial estimates. Further
information concerning the Company and its business, including
factors that potentially could materially affect the Company's
financial results, is contained in the Company's filings with the
Securities and Exchange Commission. The following table summarizes
the Aon Consulting Health Care Trends Survey results from 2001 -
2007: Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring 2001 2002 2002 2003 2003
2004 Medical (w/Rx) HMO 14.4% 16.2% 15.1% 16.4% 14.8% 14.1% POS
15.7% 16.0% 15.1% 16.1% 14.8% 14.1% PPO 16.8% 16.0% 15.8% 15.7%
14.9% 14.2% Indemnity 19.2% 18.3% 18.1% 17.2% 16.3% 15.3% CDH 14.1%
Medical (w/o Rx) HMO 12.7% 14.6% 14.0% 14.7% 13.7% 13.4% POS 14.0%
14.5% 13.9% 14.5% 14.0% 13.5% PPO 15.1% 14.6% 14.6% 14.4% 14.3%
13.5% Indemnity 18.6% 17.1% 17.2% 16.4% 15.5% 14.7% CDHP 13.3%
Dental DHMO 4.4% 4.4% 5.3% 4.8% 5.1% 5.0% PPO 7.7% 7.6% 7.8% 7.6%
7.7% 7.3% Indemnity 8.0% 8.4% 8.3% 7.6% 7.6% 7.7% Pharmacy General
16.0% 17.8% 18.3% 17.7% 15.3% 14.4% Specialty Vision N/A 3.2% 3.5%
3.8% 3.4% 3.9% Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring 2004 2005 2005
2006 2006 2007 Medical (w/Rx) HMO 13.3% 13.2% 12.9% 12.2% 11.4%
10.9% POS 13.6% 13.0% 13.0% 11.9% 11.2% 10.8% PPO 13.6% 13.0% 13.0%
12.4% 11.6% 11.2% Indemnity 15.4% 14.6% 14.2% 14.4% 13.9% 12.7% CDH
13.7% 12.7% 13.3% 12.5% 10.5% 10.7% Medical (w/o Rx) HMO 12.7%
12.9% 12.7% 12.0% 11.4% 11.0% POS 13.2% 12.7% 12.8% 11.8% 11.2%
10.9% PPO 13.2% 12.7% 12.8% 12.3% 11.4% 11.3% Indemnity 15.1% 14.6%
14.3% 14.4% 13.9% 13.1% CDHP 13.1% 12.4% 13.2% 12.3% 10.3% 10.7%
Dental DHMO 4.3% 4.7% 4.8% 4.8% 4.7% 4.5% PPO 7.0% 7.1% 7.1% 6.7%
6.5% 6.1% Indemnity 7.4% 7.6% 7.6% 7.1% 7.2% 7.1% Pharmacy General
13.1% 13.1% 11.8% 12.2% 10.6% 9.5% Specialty 22.5% 19.0% 17.0%
14.9% 15.1% Vision 3.3% 3.9% 4.0% 3.6% 2.9% 3.1% (1) This survey
forecasts the health care trend rates for the 12-month rating
periods beginning from April 2007 to September 2007. Aon Consulting
defines trend as the expected future increase in employer-provided
medical plan claims cost, before any plan changes. These trend
figures are based on the opinions of health plan actuaries. For
more information, contact: Raphaele Schnoll 312.755.3592 or Sara
Carlson 312.381.5045
http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20041215/CGW049LOGO
http://photoarchive.ap.org/ DATASOURCE: Aon Corporation CONTACT:
Raphaele Schnoll, +1-312-755-3592, , for Aon; or Sara Carlson of
Aon, +1-312-381-5045, Web site: http://www.aon.com/
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