The stormy U.S. economy has produced a silver lining for some
hospitals, which are able to hire more nurses directly and rely
less on costlier contract-nurse businesses.
That development, however, is taking a toll on nurse staffing
companies such as AMN Healthcare Services Inc. (AHS) and Cross
Country Healthcare Inc. (CCRN), which have reported deteriorating
business conditions as the recession has deepened.
Shares of nurse staffing companies have sold off heavily since
autumn as a weak economy lopped demand for travel nurses and
allowed hospitals to save on labor costs by hiring nurses directly
onto their staffs.
A nationwide nursing shortage in recent years was exacerbated by
the booming economy, as many nurses were the secondary wage earners
in their households and could work fewer days or hours, Trevor
Fetter, president and chief executive of hospital operator Tenet
Healthcare Corp. (THC), noted in an interview this week.
"Now that the economy is weaker, we are seeing the nursing
shortage abate a little bit, where nurses are willing to work
longer hours, come back into the work force, maybe work longer days
than they did before," Fetter said. "Anyone with a nursing degree
in this country does not need to worry about having a job."
Steve Filton, chief financial officer of hospital operator
Universal Health Services Inc. (UHS), made a similar observation
during an interview with Dow Jones Newswires this week. The use of
temporary nurses, a more expensive option, tends to decline as the
economy weakens, and "we're certainly finding that dynamic at
play," he said.
The recession, with its rising unemployment and expectation of
greater numbers of uninsured Americans, is hardly seen as an
overall boon to hospitals. The industry has been struggling for
years with pressure from caring for uninsured and underinsured
patients and with soft admissions of commercially insured patients.
The increased ability to hire nurses on their staffs, however, can
help ease labor costs for hospitals.
The use of a nurse from a staffing agency can cost a hospital
20% more than employing one on staff, Tenet's Fetter said, citing
fees that the hospital must pay for those services.
The pressure of the nursing shortage started to abate in the
third quarter of 2008, as Tenet was able to reduce its use of
contract labor, he said.
"We prefer to have continuity with our employees," Fetter
added.
That trend is hitting the nurse staffing industry.
"While not as impacted as many other sectors, the slowing
economic conditions and higher unemployment have negatively
impacted demand for our services, most notably in nurse staffing,"
Susan Nowakowski, president and CEO of AMN Healthcare Services of
San Diego, the nation's largest heath-care staffing company, said
this week after the company posted a 9.5% decline in fourth-quarter
profit.
In 2009 so far, demand has slowed for most of AMN's business
lines, most significantly for nursing, with volume declining by
double-digit percentage amounts both sequentially and year over
year, the company said. AMN also noted a moderation in price
increases, although it said it doesn't expect pricing erosion.
Based on those trends, the company forecasted that revenue would
decline by a low- to mid-teens percentage year over year in the
first quarter. AMN said it will continue to share general business
trends while no longer providing specific financial guidance,
explaining that the current economic environment makes it more
difficult to forecast financial performance.
AMN has taken cost-cutting measures in the past three months,
including a work-force reduction, minimal replacement for
attrition, and brand and facility consolidation. The company,
though, increased market share last year, and in previous
recessions has been able to build market share, Nowakowski noted
during a conference call. "While orders are significantly down, we
believe we still have about twice as many assignments to offer
[nurses] than our closest competitors," she said.
Cross Country is set to report its fourth-quarter results on
Wednesday, after the close. During Cross Country's third-quarter
call in November, President and CEO Joseph Boshart noted that the
company's operating environment had deteriorated significantly,
with demand for travel nurses going from being up more than 20% at
the start of the period to being down more than 30% at the end.
Boshart said at the time that demand was its lowest since late
2003.
The changing dynamic doesn't necessarily mean hospitals will see
a big windfall in labor costs. During a conference call in early
February, Richard Bracken, CEO of once-public hospital chain HCA
Inc., which issues corporate debt, said that "obviously we maybe
get a little help in a tough economy in terms of turnover, and the
overall pricing of wages tends to moderate in difficult times. But
nonetheless, we need more nurses next year than we do this year to
take care of an increasing volume level."
AMN Healthcare shares are down some 58% year over year, while
closing up 3.33%, or 21 cents, at $6.51. Cross Country shares are
off 32.4% year over year, and closed up 2%, or 15 cents, at $7.40
on Friday. Both companies are trading well below their historic
valuations.
AMN traded recently at 12.4 times projected earnings for the
next 12 months, while Cross Country traded at 11.7 times. Over the
past several years, in contrast, AMN traded at an average of nearly
18.5 times projected earnings for the subsequent 12 months, while
Cross Country traded at more than 21.7 times.
AMN Chief Financial Officer David Dreyer said Friday the company
has previously experienced the phenomenon of lower demand in a weak
economy as retired nurses return to hospital staffs - and that
those nurses typically don't leave retirement for very long. Demand
for travel nurses also appears to be lower, he said, because
admissions are down at some hospitals, resulting in operating cost
cuts, and because some facilities are using their operating cash to
help fund projects in response to tight credit markets.
Cross Country had no immediate comment.
-By Dinah Wisenberg Brin, Dow Jones Newswires; 215-656-8285;
dinah.brin@dowjones.com