As the broad markets are approaching their all-time highs,
investors are gaining confidence over the riskier asset classes. As
such, equities and equity ETFs are showing heavy inflows this year
on the heels of improving global economic conditions (read: 3 ETFs
Beating the S&P 500).
In this backdrop, commodities like gold, agriculture and
industrial metals have experienced some weakness due to a lack of
investor interest and a strong dollar. The fears of a deepening
euro zone crisis of late has also taken a toll on these
commodities, hurting demand for raw materials, further adding to
their woes.
However, despite the overall negative sentiment, a couple of
commodity ETFs have impressed with their performances so far this
year. Interestingly, these top performers have been spread out
among various commodity groups and could act as better plays in the
current market.
This suggests that there have been winners in every corner of
the space, implying that investors who have been burned by
broader-based commodity funds this year may want to consider
looking at any of the following commodity ETFs that we have
highlighted below (see more ETFs in the Zacks ETF Center):
Cotton ETF
Cotton, the only soft commodity on the list, could be a strong
performer this year thanks to strong demand in China and rising
global fiber consumption. In addition, cotton plantings are
expected to decline 27% this year, touching the lowest level since
1983, according to the projection led by the National Cotton
Council (read: Invest Like Morgan Stanley with These 5 Commodity
ETFs).
Investors seeking to play this rally in cotton prices could find
iPath Dow Jones-UBS Cotton Subindex Total Return ETN
(BAL) an intriguing
option in the space. Launched in June 2008, the note follows the
Dow Jones-UBS Cotton Subindex Total Return, which delivers returns
through an unleveraged investment in the futures contracts on
cotton.
The product has failed to attract investors with just $46.3
million in assets and average daily volume of roughly 26,000
shares. This ensures a modest additional cost to investors in the
form of a wide bid/ask spread beyond annual fees of 75 bps a year.
The note added about 14.59% year-to-date.
Gasoline ETF
Within the energy space, gasoline seems to have move higher on
solid demand and disruptions in gasoline supply. Further, an
improving job market and recovering global economic fundamentals
also support the bullish trend for gasoline prices.
Investors looking to make a concentrated play on the gasoline
segment of the energy market could choose United States
Gasoline Fund
(UGA). The ETF
allows investors to directly make a play on the commodity of RBOB
gasoline and provides a vehicle to hedge gasoline movements (read:
Pump Profits with This Gasoline ETF).
The fund tracks the changes in percentage terms of its units’
net asset value to reflect the changes in percentage terms of the
price of gasoline. This is measured by the changes in the price of
the futures contract on unleaded gasoline traded on NYMEX that is
the near month to expire, except when the near month is within two
weeks of expiration. In such a case, the next month’s contract will
be used instead.
The ETF is less liquid with daily trading volume of about
31,000, suggesting a wider bid/ask spread. As such, investors have
to pay extra beyond the annual fee of 60 bps in fees per year. The
fund has managed assets of $58.3 million and gained 3.13% so far in
the year.
Palladium ETF
In the precious metal space, palladium could be considered an
extremely lucrative investment avenue given its growing demand and
decreasing supply throughout the year.
An improving auto industry and growing consumption of palladium
in cell phones, computers and jewelry should provide a nice boost
to the white metal's demand. On the other hand, supply of palladium
is going through certain disruptions due to the labor dispute in
South Africa, production cuts at unprofitable mines and diminishing
stockpiles in Russia.
With the global demand for palladium and the auto industry
expected to remain robust, and supply at an all-time low, the price
of the metal seems likely to go up going forward (read: Palladium
ETFs to Rally in 2013?).
Investors looking to take advantage of this possible price rise
should focus on the only pure play ETF Securities Physical
Palladium Shares (PALL)
in the space. Launched in Jan 2010, the fund seeks to match the
spot price of palladium, net of fees and expenses and own palladium
bullion in plate or ingots to back the shares.
With total assets of $582.2 million, PALL tracks almost 100% the
physical price of palladium bullion subject to LPPM rules for Good
Delivery, and kept in Zurich or London under the custody of
JPMorgan Bank.
The ETF is relatively pricey though, charging investors 60 bps
in annual fees. Additionally, it has a wide bid/ask spread, which
increases the total cost for this fund thanks to the average daily
volume of 75,000 shares. The fund is up 7.86% year-to-date and has
a Zacks ETF Rank of 2 or ‘Buy’, suggesting that the product is
expected to continue its bull run over the next one-year
period.
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IPATH-DJ-A COTN (BAL): ETF Research Reports
ETFS-PALLADIUM (PALL): ETF Research Reports
US GAS FUND LP (UGA): ETF Research Reports
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Grafico Azioni Abrdn Palladium ETF (AMEX:PALL)
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Grafico Azioni Abrdn Palladium ETF (AMEX:PALL)
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