No Pivot In Sight: Why Bitcoin Could See More Pain As Inflation Strengthens
11 Ottobre 2022 - 06:09PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin trends lower moving towards the bottom of a range created
in July when the cryptocurrency scored a multi-year low at $17,600.
Now, BTC seems poised for further losses on low timeframes as macro
forces remain in control of global markets. Related Reading:
Avalanche Sits On A Time Bomb As Price Eyes $10, Will Price Escape
This? At the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $19,000 with
a 1% and 3% loss in the last 24 hours and 7 days, respectively.
Other cryptocurrencies are following the general sentiment in the
market with many giving back their low timeframe profits apart from
XRP. Bitcoin Trapped Between Global Macro Forces According to
trading desk QCP Capital, after the Ethereum “Merge”, the migration
from Proof-of-Work (PoS) to a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus, was
successfully completed, and the sector lost its final bullish
narrative. Now, macro factors are the only thing exerting
influence. Thus, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies are
increasing their correlation with traditional assets and moving
more and more in tandem with global economic forces. In that sense,
the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) print for September might
put additional selling pressure on BTC’s price. The U.S. Federal
Reserve (Fed) is trying to combat the high levels of inflation, as
measured by the CPI, by hiking interest rates and reducing its
balance sheets. This is causing a negative effect on the value of
almost every asset class except for the U.S. dollar. QCP Capital
wrote: USD continues to remain bid, as real returns on dollar
outperforms every other asset class YTD. Commodities and Precious
Metals showing grim figures (…). Amalgamation of global macro
sentiment has driven correlations across assets back to
extremes. BTC correlation with equities and gold (positively
correlated) at all-time highs (…). However, their attempts have
been futile as inflation is proving resilient and might continue
trending upward. The upcoming September CPI print, to be published
this next Thursday, will proving more clues into the current
macroeconomic situation. QCP Capital said: In that regard, all eyes
are on the Fed and by extension on CPI print this Thursday, where
uncertainty remains high. Sell-side economists are predicting a
rise of approximately 0.4% m/m and 6.5% y/y in core CPI, carried by
strong shelter inflation. If the Fed insists on hiking interest
rates, Bitcoin is likely to trend lower in the short term. QCP
Capital views the “robust” demand in the U.S. job sectors as
potentially negative as it contributes to inflation metrics and
encourages the financial institution to maintain financial
conditions tights. Bitcoin Whales Push BTC Down, Look Out Below?
The Fed is already being pressured by U.S. allies to stop their
interest rate hike program but to no avail. However, this pressure
might contribute to a shift in the financial institution’s stance
over the long run. In the meantime, as the economic situation
remains at extreme levels, Bitcoin’s upside potential will continue
to be limited. In short timeframes, data from Material Indicators
shows an increase in selling orders from investors (purple in the
chart below) with ask orders of between $100,000 to $1 million.
Related Reading: XRP Takes The Lead Among Altcoins – Will It Drop
Before Climbing? As long as this trend continues, any attempts of
reclaiming previous levels with result in rejection as have been
happening over the past weeks. #FireCharts CVD shows that
historically, Whales (purple) with $100k-$1M market orders have had
more influence on #Bitcoin price than Mega Whales (brown) with
$1M-$10M market orders. Keep that in mind when you are trying to
swim with the pod. pic.twitter.com/eVCqM5UTWo — Material Indicators
(@MI_Algos) October 11, 2022
Grafico Azioni Avalanche (COIN:AVAXUSD)
Storico
Da Mar 2023 a Mar 2023
Grafico Azioni Avalanche (COIN:AVAXUSD)
Storico
Da Mar 2022 a Mar 2023