Is The Bitcoin Bull Market Still On? STH Cost Basis Suggests So
11 Gennaio 2025 - 1:30PM
NEWSBTC
The Bitcoin price has been somewhat quiet since hitting its
all-time high of $108,135, struggling to hold a six-figure
valuation for long. Case in point — the premier cryptocurrency
barely lasted a day above $100,000 before crashing to under $92,000
in the past week. This sluggish price action has triggered
discussions about the likelihood of a top being in and the Bitcoin
bull market being over. However, the latest on-chain observation
suggests that the flagship cryptocurrency might still have room for
further upward price movement. What’s The Current Bitcoin
Short-Term Holders Cost Basis? In its latest post on the X
platform, blockchain analytics firm Glassnode revealed that the
Bitcoin bull market might not be over just yet. This on-chain
observation is based on the movement of the BTC price in relation
to the short-term holders (STH) cost basis. Related Reading: Is
Dogecoin’s 30% Decline A Chance To Buy On Discount? Here Is the
Pertinent Level To Watch The STH cost-basis metric tracks the
average price at which short-term holders (investors who have held
Bitcoin for less than 155 days) purchased their coins. It
represents a psychological level for BTC investors and could serve
as a technical point for analyzing prices, especially during bull
cycles. Typically, the price of Bitcoin floats above the STH cost
basis during bull markets, indicating significant buying interest
and positive sentiment from short-term traders. Conversely, when
the BTC price falls beneath this level — as often seen in bear
markets, this means that newer investors are in the red, leading to
substantial selling pressure. According to data from Glassnode,
Bitcoin’s price is roughly 7% above the STH cost basis, which
currently stands at around $88,135. While the premier
cryptocurrency is a little closer to the cost basis, the inkling is
still that short-term holders are less likely to offload their
assets. If the price of Bitcoin manages to sustain above the STH
cost basis, it means the potential continuation of the current bull
market. On the flip side, a move beneath $88,000 could set the
stage for a trend reversal, with the market shifting from a bull to
a bear phase. As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just above
$94,000, reflecting barely a 1% increase in the past 24 hours.
According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is
down by more than 3% in the last seven days. Is A Market Rebound
Imminent? The crypto market has been in terrible form over the past
week, with several large-cap assets dipping by double digits.
Unsurprisingly, many crypto traders have indicated interest in
offloading their assets on various social media platforms. Related
Reading: SUI Defies Odds With A Sharp Rebound Above $4.9: New Highs
Loom? However, this shift in investor sentiment increases the odds
of a market recovery, as prices tend to move in the crowd’s
opposite direction. On-chain intelligence firm Santiment noted in a
post on X that this was the case in the rally witnessed in 2024 Q4,
as higher prices followed increased bearish mentions. Featured
image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Grafico Azioni Dogecoin (COIN:DOGEUSD)
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Grafico Azioni Dogecoin (COIN:DOGEUSD)
Storico
Da Gen 2024 a Gen 2025