First Quantum Minerals Ltd. (“First Quantum” or “the Company”)
(TSX: FM) announces preliminary production for the three months
(“Q4”) and year ended December 31, 2023, guidance for production,
capital expenditures and costs for the years 2024 to 2026 and an
update on balance sheet initiatives.
“With the suspension of production at Cobre
Panama, we are taking decisive action to conserve capital, lower
costs and strengthen our financial position. This will enable the
continued development of the Kansanshi S3 Expansion, which will
further strengthen our cash flows when commissioned next year. In
parallel, we are advancing several initiatives to give us
optionality and flexibility in respect to our balance sheet,”
commented Tristan Pascall, Chief Executive Officer of First
Quantum. “We remain committed to Zambia with the improved
investment climate. The strong progress of the S3 Expansion project
is a reflection of this. It is also pleasing that recent
discussions in Panama have been constructive regarding the
responsible environmental stewardship of the mine.”
Highlights
- Q4 and
2023 Production: First Quantum achieved annual copper
production of 708 thousand tonnes (“kt”), a 9% reduction from 2022.
After the successful completion of the CP100 Expansion project,
Cobre Panama delivered annual copper production of 331kt before
halting operations in November and placing the mine into a phase of
Preservation and Safe Management (“P&SM”). Zambian production
of 349kt was 10% lower than 2022 due to a combination of lower
throughput at both sites and lower grades at Kansanshi. Copper
production in Q4 2023 was 160kt, 22% lower than Q4 2022 and 28%
lower than Q3 2023 mainly attributable to the ramp down of
operations at Cobre Panama in November.
-
Three-Year Guidance: When referring to future and
prior year production figures, guidance is presented excluding
Cobre Panama. 2024 Copper production guidance is between 370 –
420kt and is expected to increase to between 400 – 460kt in 2025
and 2026 as the S3 Expansion at Kansanshi comes online. Total C1
and AISC unit cost ranges are in line with prior year guidance when
excluding Cobre Panama. Improvements in operating costs such as
fuel, maintenance, contractors and labour mitigate the impact of
lower by-product credits from Kansanshi and lower production at
Sentinel. Guidance for gold production has been revised at
Kansanshi, in line with an improved understanding of the sources of
sulphide copper-gold mineralization at depth. Nickel production
guidance for Ravensthorpe has been reduced in response to weak
nickel market conditions.
- Balance
sheet initiatives: The Company has suspended its dividend
as a result of Cobre Panama being in a phase of P&SM.
Additionally, planned capital programs have been reduced or
re-phased by approximately $400 million in 2024 and $250 million in
2025. This reflects a halt in capital spend at Cobre Panama and
proactive initiatives to offset capital inflation in the Zambian
business. The Company has commenced discussions with its banking
partners to address and extend its bank loan facilities. The
Company is further evaluating a range of options to maintain a
robust financial position and preserve value for its shareholders,
including exploring the sale of smaller mines and interests in its
larger mining assets.
Cobre Panama Update
Cobre Panama currently remains in a phase of
P&SM with production halted. Approximately 1,400 workers remain
on site to run the P&SM program. Further reductions to a
headcount below 1,000 workers may follow depending on environmental
stewardship programs. Previous illegal blockages around the mine
have been cleared, allowing for the delivery by road and at port of
necessary supplies to conduct the P&SM program.
In January, the Company and Panama’s Ministry of
Commerce and Industries (“MICI”) had preliminary discussions
related to the P&SM program and the associated funding of
P&SM costs. These costs are expected to range from $15 - $20
million per month and further reductions could follow depending on
environmental stewardship programs. On January 11, Cobre Panama
hosted a large delegation, including the Ministers from MICI and
the Ministry of the Environment, as well as other government
departments and a broad range of civil society organizations, to
demonstrate the measures that are being undertaken as part of the
P&SM program. At the request of MICI, Cobre Panama will deliver
a preliminary draft for the first phase of P&SM on January 16.
This will be an initial plan that will require regular adjustments
and updates to address additional subsequent project phases and
steps as the planning and preparation requirements evolve.
2023 Preliminary Production
First Quantum achieved annual copper production
of 708kt in 2023, which was 68kt lower than in 2022. Copper
production in Q4 2023 was 160kt, 46kt below Q4 2022 and 62kt below
Q3 2023. Copper production for the full year and Q4 2023 was
impacted by the ramp down of operations at Cobre Panama in November
with the operation placed in a phase of P&SM. Production
guidance for Cobre Panama was duly suspended.
Copper production at Cobre Panama of 331kt for
the full year was 19kt lower than 2022. Cobre Panama achieved
record copper production of 310kt to the end of October before
ramping down operations in November and entering a phase of
P&SM. Copper production in Q4 2023 of 63kt was a 27kt decrease
from Q4 2022 and 50kt lower than Q3 2023. Approximately 121
thousand dry metric tonnes of copper concentrate remains unsold
following disruptions at the Punta Rincon port.
Kansanshi copper production of 135kt for the
full year was 11kt lower than 2022 due to lower feed grades and
lower throughput on the sulphide circuit, particularly from the
highly competent ore from lower elevations of M11 in the main pit.
The variability of grades in ore stockpiles also impacted grades.
Copper production in Q4 2023 was 32kt, a 3kt reduction from Q4 2022
and 8kt lower than Q3 2023. Kansanshi production for 2023 was
within the revised guidance range of 130 – 140kt.
Sentinel copper production of 214kt for the full
year was 28kt lower than 2022. Production in Q1 was impacted by
excessive rainfall that resulted in the accumulation of water in
the high-grade area of the Stage 1 pit, which was subsequently
cleared by mid-May 2023. Mining volumes and mill throughput
improved in H2 2023 but were lower than anticipated due to the
mining of very hard rock in the lower levels of the pit. Q4 2023
copper production of 60kt was 13kt below Q4 2022 and 4kt lower than
Q3 2023. Sentinel production for 2023 of 214kt was lower than the
revised guidance range of 220 – 230kt.
Other sites achieved consolidated copper
production of 28kt for the full year, a 10kt reduction from 2022
reflecting declining production from short life mines. Copper
production at the Cobre Las Cruces mine in Spain ceased in Q2 2023.
All permits are now in place for the underground development
project at Cobre Las Cruces.
The production and sales figures provided herein
are preliminary and subject to final adjustment. The final
production and sales figures will be confirmed in the Company's
financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December
31, 2023.
000’s |
Q4 2023 |
Q42022 |
Year 2023 |
Year 2022 |
|
|
|
|
|
Copper production
(tonnes) |
160 |
206 |
708 |
776 |
Gold production (ounces) |
53 |
70 |
227 |
283 |
Nickel production
(tonnes) |
7 |
6 |
26 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Copper (000’s tonnes) |
Q4 2023 |
Q42022 |
Year 2023 |
Year 2022 |
|
|
|
|
|
Cobre Panama |
63 |
90 |
331 |
350 |
Kansanshi |
32 |
35 |
135 |
146 |
Trident - Sentinel |
60 |
73 |
214 |
242 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
5 |
8 |
28 |
38 |
Production |
160 |
206 |
708 |
776 |
Gold (000’s ounces) |
Q4 2023 |
Q42022 |
Year 2023 |
Year 2022 |
|
|
|
|
|
Cobre Panama |
31 |
38 |
130 |
140 |
Kansanshi |
17 |
24 |
69 |
110 |
Other |
5 |
8 |
28 |
33 |
Production |
53 |
70 |
227 |
283 |
Nickel production (000’s tonnes) |
Q4 2023 |
Q42022 |
Year 2023 |
Year 2022 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ravensthorpe |
4 |
6 |
22 |
22 |
Trident - Enterprise |
3 |
- |
4 |
- |
Production |
7 |
6 |
26 |
22 |
Copper sales (000’s tonnes) |
Q4 2023 |
Q42022 |
Year 2023 |
Year 2022 |
Total copper |
128 |
199 |
674 |
782 |
|
|
|
|
|
2024 – 2026 Guidance
Guidance is based on a number of assumptions and
estimates as of December 31, 2023, including among other things,
assumptions about metal prices and anticipated costs and
expenditures. Guidance involves estimates of known and unknown
risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual
results to be materially different.
Guidance for 2024 to 2026 is presented excluding
Cobre Panama.
Production guidance
000’s |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
|
|
|
|
Copper (tonnes) |
370 - 420 |
400 - 460 |
400 - 460 |
Gold (ounces) |
95 - 115 |
120 - 140 |
140 - 165 |
Nickel (tonnes) |
22 - 37 |
26 - 41 |
36 - 51 |
|
|
|
|
Production guidance by operation
Copper
000’s tonnes |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
|
|
|
|
Kansanshi |
130 - 150 |
170 - 200 |
180 - 210 |
Trident - Sentinel |
220 - 250 |
210 - 240 |
210 - 240 |
Other sites |
20 |
20 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Gold
000’s ounces |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
|
|
|
|
Kansanshi |
65 - 75 |
85 - 95 |
90 - 105 |
Guelb Moghrein |
28 - 38 |
34 - 44 |
49 - 59 |
Other sites |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Nickel
000’s tonnes |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
|
|
|
|
Ravensthorpe |
12 - 17 |
11 - 16 |
11 - 16 |
Trident - Enterprise |
10 - 20 |
15 - 25 |
25 - 35 |
|
|
|
|
Kansanshi copper production in 2024 is in line
with prior year guidance and is higher in 2025 from prior year
guidance, reflecting the continued strong progress of the S3
Expansion project. Through the course of 2023, the project achieved
key milestones of commissioning approximately 30% of the fleet,
progressing 80% of the engineering, and earthworks and civil works
are ahead of schedule. The progressive increase in copper
production over the three-year guidance period is attributable to
the S3 Expansion, which is expected to come online during the
second half of 2025. A proportion of the initial feed for S3 will
be sourced from lower grade stockpiles in order to fill the
concentrator, reducing feed grade. Production is expected to
increase from 2027 as increased ore from the South East Dome
deposit at in-situ grades is fed into the plant, replacing the
stockpile feed. Gold production at Kansanshi has been revised from
prior year’s guidance, in line with an improved understanding of
the sources of sulphide copper-gold mineralization at depth.
Sentinel copper production has been adjusted to
ensure a more even mining sequence for ore and waste movement and
sustaining capital requirements, in particular the ongoing opening
up of the pit at Phase 3 in 2024 and looking ahead to Phase 4 in
future years. This approach provides for improved mining
productivities, trolley assist and waste dump profiles and also
improves storm-water management and the sequencing of in-pit
crusher moves. As such, year-on-year guidance for Sentinel is based
on an optimal and sustainable balance of grades and volumes, with
slightly lower grades expected in 2025 and 2026 than 2024.
Guelb Moghrein gold production reflects the
commissioning of the Carbon-in-Leach plant in the first half of
2024. Gold production in 2024 for other sites is in line with prior
year guidance.
At Ravensthorpe, weak nickel prices, lower
payabilities and high operating costs have resulted in significant
margin pressure leading to the decision to scale back operations.
The priority is to improve margins while still maintaining asset
integrity to avoid compromising the future operation of the mine at
full capacity. Mining at Shoemaker-Levy will be suspended and both
High Pressure Acid Leach circuits will be bypassed. Existing ore
stockpiles will be processed through the Atmospheric Leach circuit.
This will substantially reduce mining and processing costs, albeit
at slightly lower recoveries in the process plant. Stockpiles are
sufficient for eighteen months of production, after which time Hale
Bopp and Halley’s ore bodies will be mined. The change in strategy
results in a decrease in nickel production guidance with grades and
recoveries impacted, while at the same time preserving the
higher-grade Shoemaker Levy orebody until nickel prices recover and
operating margins improve.
Cash cost and all-in sustaining cost
Total Copper ($/lb) |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
C1 |
1.80 - 2.05 |
1.80 - 2.05 |
1.80 - 2.05 |
AISC |
2.70 - 3.00 |
2.85 - 3.15 |
2.80 - 3.10 |
Total Nickel ($/lb) |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
C1 |
7.00 - 8.50 |
5.50 - 7.00 |
5.00 - 6.25 |
AISC |
8.40 - 10.40 |
7.70 - 9.70 |
6.50 - 7.80 |
|
|
|
|
C1 copper cash cost guidance has increased as a
result of the production impacts from the suspension of operations
at Cobre Panama. Excluding Cobre Panama, C1 cash costs for 2024 are
in line with prior year as current inflationary pressures, lower
copper production from Sentinel and reduced by-product gold credits
from Kansanshi are offset by cost saving initiatives, lower fuel
prices and a weaker Zambian kwacha.
AISC cash cost guidance has increased to reflect
the volume impact of the absence of Cobre Panama production,
coupled with higher royalties in line with increased copper price
assumptions. The higher AISC in 2025 reflects increased capital
expenditures for fleet replacement at Kansanshi before normalizing
in 2026 as production increases.
Unit cost guidance assumes a gold price of
$1,800 per ounce, average Brent crude oil price of $90 per barrel,
Zambian kwacha/USD exchange rate of 21 and royalties based on
consensus copper prices. Unit cost guidance assumes a sulphur price
of $150 per tonne at Ravensthorpe.
Total nickel unit cost guidance excludes
Enterprise in 2024. Enterprise nickel unit cost guidance is
included from its expected first full year of commercial production
in 2025 with C1 nickel cash costs of $4.00 to $6.00 per lb and
$3.50 to $6.00 per lb in 2026. Commercial production is expected
during 2024.
Capital expenditure
$ million |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
|
|
|
|
Project Capital |
810 - 880 |
570 - 590 |
290 - 320 |
|
|
|
|
Sustaining capital |
260 - 290 |
450 - 480 |
280 - 320 |
|
|
|
|
Capitalized stripping |
180 - 230 |
180 - 230 |
280 - 310 |
|
|
|
|
Total capital expenditure |
1,250 - 1,400 |
1,200 - 1,300 |
850 - 950 |
|
|
|
|
Capital expenditure continues to experience
inflationary cost increases driven by higher shipping rates, steel
prices, power costs, labour rates and general inflation. Guidance
reflects these cost increases as well as additional scope increases
and the timing of expenditures, including approximately $235
million of expenditure carried over from 2023 related mainly to the
S3 Expansion and smelter expansion projects at Kansanshi, in-pit
crusher relocations at Sentinel, as well as other sustaining
capital mostly related to mobile fleet replacements. However,
strategic measures have been implemented to offset the impact of
these inflationary increases and deferred expenditure through
optimizing and prioritizing capital expenditure.
Total capital expenditure for the S3 Expansion
project remains unchanged at $1.25 billion, with approximately $215
million spent to date. The S3 Expansion includes the development
and construction of the S3 process plant circuit and mining fleet
acquisitions. Across the three-year guidance period, capital
expenditure for the S3 Expansion project is expected to be
approximately $780 million with the majority of the spend planned
over 2024 and 2025. Pre-strip activities for the South East Dome
pit are expected to continue through 2025, of which $220 million is
included in the S3 project capital within the guidance period.
First production from S3 continues to be expected in H2 2025.
In addition to the S3 Expansion project, project
capital in the three-year guidance period includes
approximately:
- $200 million at
Kansanshi for the expansion of the smelter, expansion of the
tailings facility and the relocation of an in-pit crusher,
- $130 million in
capital expenditures at Sentinel for the relocation of in-pit
crushers,
- $100 million for
La Granja development, with a majority of the spending occurring in
the back end of the guidance period, predominantly on community
engagement, metallurgical and feasibility studies,
- $45 million for
additional trolley line installations across Kansanshi and
Sentinel.
The three-year guidance includes capital
expenditure that is expected to drive better sustainability
performance as well as improving the cost structures and
productivity of the business. These include:
- Upgrade of the
Kansanshi smelter to increase processing capacity, which reduces
downstream greenhouse gas emissions from the transport and refining
of copper concentrate produced by Kansanshi and Sentinel,
- Expansion of
trolley assist infrastructure across the Zambian operations to
lower diesel consumption and associated mine fleet greenhouse gas
emissions, as well as offering the potential for future integration
with battery mining trucks,
- Relocation and
installation of in-pit crushers at the Zambian operations to
optimize haul cycle efficiency and reduce mine fleet diesel
consumption,
- Investments at
Trident to enhance the social infrastructure serving both our
workforce and local communities,
- Water
initiatives at various operations for the management of water
quality and reuse by operations, and
- Community
engagement in relation to the La Granja development project in
Peru.
Sustaining capital expenditure ranges between
$260 million and $480 million over the guidance period with an
increase at Kansanshi in 2025 reflecting increased fleet
replacement programs.
Capital expenditure guidance excludes
capitalized pre-commercial production results.
Balance Sheet Initiatives
With Cobre Panama in a phase of P&SM, First
Quantum is employing a number of measures to prudently allow for
the planned capital spending for the S3 Expansion project at
Kansanshi to continue, while comprehensively addressing the
Company’s leverage. The Company has a number of options that it is
actively pursuing in this regard. These initiatives include:
- Dividend
suspension: The Board has suspended the semi-annual
dividend. The Board will review the Company’s financial policy on
an ongoing basis and adjust the dividend approach when
appropriate.
- Capital
expenditure reductions: Planned capital programs across
the Company have been reduced or re-phased by approximately $400
million in 2024 and $250 million in 2025. This reflects a halt in
capital spend at Cobre Panama and proactive initiatives to offset
capital inflation in the Zambian business. The Company remains
committed to delivering the S3 Expansion project at Kansanshi in H2
2025.
-
Operating costs and other reductions: Following a
detailed review of all operating and administrative costs, the
Company has identified savings which will offset the inflationary
impact on operating costs. The cost savings initiatives include a
change in strategy at Ravensthorpe to temporarily remove higher
cost production.
- Working
Capital: The Company is also targeting reductions in its
working capital requirements and savings in the procurement of
materials, supplies and third party service costs where
possible.
- Asset
and stake sales: A process is currently underway to sell
some of the Company’s smaller mining assets. Following a number of
inbound expressions of interest, the Company is also evaluating the
possibility of investments by strategic investors in its larger
mining assets.
-
Financing activity: The Company is taking a
proactive approach to managing its balance sheet and the
refinancing of its near-term debt maturities. The Company has
commenced constructive discussions with its banking partners to
address and extend its bank loan facilities. The Company will
continue to evaluate a range of options across the capital markets
to maintain a robust financial position and preserve value for its
shareholders.
For further information, visit our website at
www.first-quantum.com or contact:
Bonita To, Director, Investor Relations (416)
361-6400 Toll-free: 1 (888) 688-6577E-Mail: info@fqml.com
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT ON FORWARD-LOOKING
INFORMATION
Certain statements and information herein,
including all statements that are not historical facts, contain
forward-looking statements and forward-looking information within
the meaning of applicable securities laws. The forward-looking
statements include estimates, forecasts and statements as to the
Company’s expectations of production of copper, gold and nickel at
its projects (excluding Cobre Panama), capital expenditures and
cash costs and all-in sustaining costs in each of 2024, 2025 and
2026; the timing and effect on cash flows of the commissioning of
the S3 Expansion at Kansanshi; the success of reductions or
rephasing of planned capital programs; steps the Company make take
to maintain a robust financial position; the P&SM program at
Cobre Panama, including expected costs thereof; the delivery of a
draft for the first phase of P&SM and the process of adjusting
and updating such plan; the mining plan at Ravensthorpe and its
effect on mining and processing costs; the expected entry of
Enterprise into commercial production; the amounts and timing of
total capital expenditures for the S3 Expansion; and anticipated
capital expenditures associated with project works and the effects
thereof. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements or
information can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”,
“expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “budget”,
“scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates” or
“does not anticipate” or “believes” or variations of such words and
phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results
“may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be
achieved.
With respect to forward-looking statements and
information contained herein, the Company has made numerous
assumptions including among other things, assumptions about
continuing production at all operating facilities (other than Cobre
Panama), the prices of copper, gold, nickel; anticipated costs and
expenditures (including the average Brent crude oil price the
amounts payable under certain royalties, and the sulphur price,
shaipping rates, steel prices, labour rates, power costs and
general inflation); the Zambian zwacha-to-U.S. dollar exchange
rate; the timing of, and costs associated with, the completion of
the S3 Expansion; and the ability to achieve the Company’s goals.
Forward-looking statements and information by their nature are
based on assumptions and involve known and unknown risks,
uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results,
performance or achievements, or industry results, to be materially
different from any future results, performance or achievements
expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements or
information. These factors include, but are not limited to, the
prices of copper, gold and nickel, future production volumes and
costs, the temporary or permanent closure of uneconomic operations,
costs for inputs such as oil, power and sulphur, political
stability in Zambia, Peru, Mauritania, Finland, Spain, Turkey,
Argentina and Australia, adverse weather conditions in Zambia,
Finland, Spain, Turkey, Mauritania and Australia, labour
disruptions, potential social and environmental challenges
(including the impact of climate change), power supply, mechanical
failures, water supply, procurement and delivery of parts and
supplies to the operations, the production of off-spec material and
events generally impacting global economic, political and social
stability.
See the Company’s Annual Information Form for
additional information on risks, uncertainties and other factors
relating to the forward-looking statements and information.
Although the Company has attempted to identify factors that would
cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from
those disclosed in the forward-looking statements or information,
there may be other factors that cause actual results, performances,
achievements or events not to be anticipated, estimated or
intended. Also, many of these factors are beyond First Quantum’s
control. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on
forward-looking statements or information. The Company undertakes
no obligation to reissue or update forward-looking statements or
information as a result of new information or events after the date
hereof except as may be required by law. All forward-looking
statements and information made herein are qualified by this
cautionary statement.
Grafico Azioni First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM)
Storico
Da Ott 2024 a Nov 2024
Grafico Azioni First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM)
Storico
Da Nov 2023 a Nov 2024