The median monthly housing payment remains near
record highs, but slowing price growth, declining mortgage rates
and a pileup of supply is giving homebuyers in certain parts of the
country room to negotiate
(NASDAQ: RDFN) — The median U.S. home-sale price rose 3.7% year
over year during the four weeks ending February 16, the smallest
increase since September. That’s according to a new report from
Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage.
Additionally, the weekly average mortgage rate dipped to 6.87%, its
lowest level of the year.
While typical monthly housing costs remain near record highs,
decelerating price growth and gradually declining rates are among
several small pieces of good news for house hunters this week. Here
are the others:
- Homebuyers have more total inventory to choose from.
There are five months of supply on the market, up from 4.1 months a
year earlier and the most since early 2019 (except the 4 weeks
ending January 26, when there were 5.1 months). Supply is piling up
because listings are rising while pending home sales are
falling.
- Buyers have more new inventory to choose from, too. New
listings are up 4.2% year over year to their highest level for any
comparable time period in three years.
- Buyers have more negotiating power. The typical home is
selling for 2% less than its asking price, the biggest discount in
two years. Additionally, the typical home that sells is taking 57
days to go under contract, the longest span in five years. A slow
market in which the typical home is selling under list price means
buyers in many markets have the opportunity to negotiate on prices
and terms.
Some markets are more buyer friendly than others. For example,
the coastal Florida market is tilting in buyers’ favor, while
sellers are generally in the driver’s seat in some West Coast and
Northeast markets. Additionally, these conditions may be
short-lived as more buyers come off the sidelines. Home-touring
activity is rising, according to both ShowingTime data and Google
data, and Redfin agents in certain areas report that house hunters
are gearing up for spring homebuying season.
“If a home needs work or it’s priced too high, it’s sitting on
the market,” said Cody Brownfield, a Redfin Premier agent in
Cincinnati. “That’s when a buyer has bargaining power. But updated
homes that are priced right—especially those located in desirable
neighborhoods with highly rated schools—are selling quickly,
sometimes for tens of thousands of dollars over the asking price.
It seems like every buyer is looking for the same type of
house.”
Pending sales, listings are up in Los Angeles in aftermath of
wildfires
In Los Angeles, pending home sales rose 7.4% from a year earlier
during the four weeks ending February 16, making it one of just
seven major metros where sales are increasing. New listings in Los
Angeles rose 21.9%, the third-biggest increase in the U.S.
The uptick in housing market activity among both homebuyers and
sellers likely stems from January’s Palisades and Eaton wildfires,
which destroyed thousands of homes in Los Angeles. Some affluent
buyers who lost their homes are now buying new ones, and some
homeowners are selling to meet the demand. Additionally, some
buyers throughout Los Angeles pressed pause on their house hunt in
January, when many parts of life were overshadowed by the
devastating fires, and are picking it back up now.
For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit
Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page.
Leading indicators
Indicators of homebuying demand and
activity
Value (if applicable)
Recent change
Year-over-year change
Source
Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage
rate
7.03% (Feb. 19)
Down from 7.13% a week earlier
Down from 7.16%
Mortgage News Daily
Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage
rate
6.87% (week ending Feb. 13)
Down from 7.04% a month earlier
Up from 6.77%
Freddie Mac
Mortgage-purchase applications
(seasonally adjusted)
Down 6% from a week earlier (as of week
ending Feb. 14)
Up 7%
Mortgage Bankers Association
Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index
(seasonally adjusted)
Near 6-month low
(as of week ending Feb. 16)
Down 1%
Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index, a measure
of tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents
Touring activity
Up 13% from the start of the year (as of
Feb. 18)
At this time last year, it was up 14% from
the start of 2024
ShowingTime, a home touring technology
company
Google searches for “home for
sale”
Up 15% from a month earlier (as of Feb.
18)
Up 8%
Google Trends
Key housing-market data
U.S. highlights: Four weeks
ending Feb. 16, 2025
Redfin’s national metrics include
data from 400+ U.S. metro areas, and are based on homes listed
and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back
through 2015. Subject to revision.
Four weeks ending Feb. 16,
2025
Year-over-year change
Notes
Median sale price
$375,475
3.7%
Smallest increase in nearly 5 months
Median asking price
$409,725
5.3%
Median monthly mortgage payment
$2,750 at a 6.87% mortgage
rate
5.1%
$32 shy of all-time high
Pending sales
71,454
-6.8%
New listings
79,969
4.2%
Active listings
912,471
11.3%
Smallest increase in nearly a year
Months of supply
5
+0.9 pts. to second-longest span
since early 2019 (there were 5.1 months during the 4 weeks ending
Jan. 26)
4 to 5 months of supply is considered
balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market
conditions
Share of homes off market in two
weeks
32.3%
Down from 35%
Median days on market
57
+7 days to longest span since
March 2020
Share of homes sold above list
price
21.2%
Down from 23%
Average sale-to-list price
ratio
98%
Down from 98.2%
Metro-level highlights: Four weeks
ending Feb. 16, 2025
Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50
most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time
to time to ensure data accuracy.
Metros with biggest year-over-year
increases
Metros with biggest year-over-year
decreases
Notes
Median sale price
Pittsburgh (15%)
Milwaukee (14%)
San Jose, CA (13.6%)
Nassau County, NY (12.5%)
Cincinnati, OH (10.8%)
Austin, TX (-5.3%)
Tampa, FL (-1.2%)
Jacksonville, FL (-0.6%)
Dallas (-0.4%)
Atlanta (-0.3%)
Declined in 7 metros
Pending sales
San Francisco (17.7%)
Anaheim, CA (8.5%)
Los Angeles (7.4%)
Milwaukee (3.8%)
Columbus, OH (3.4%)
Miami (-22.6%)
Houston (-20.6%)
Jacksonville, FL (-18.9%)
San Antonio (-17.9%)
Atlanta (-16.8%)
Increased in 7 metros
New listings
San Jose, CA (27.4%)
Phoenix (23.7%)
Los Angeles (21.9%)
Denver (17.4%)
Sacramento, CA (15.4%)
Detroit (-21.2%)
Warren, MI (-10.9%)
Newark, NJ (-8.5%)
Jacksonville, FL (-7.2%)
San Antonio (-7.2%)
Declined in 18 metros
To view the full report, including charts, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-good-news-for-homebuyers-2025
About Redfin
Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate
company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage,
rentals, lending, and title insurance services. We run the
country's #1 real estate brokerage site. Our customers can save
thousands in fees while working with a top agent. Our home-buying
customers see homes first with on-demand tours, and our lending and
title services help them close quickly. Our rentals business
empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for
rent. Since launching in 2006, we've saved customers more than $1.6
billion in commissions. We serve approximately 100 markets across
the U.S. and Canada and employ over 4,000 people.
Redfin’s subsidiaries and affiliated brands include: Bay Equity
Home Loans®, Rent.™, Apartment Guide®, Title Forward® and
WalkScore®.
For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate
agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends
and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to
Redfin's press release distribution list, email press@redfin.com.
To view Redfin's press center, click here.
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version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250220609325/en/
Contact Redfin Redfin Journalist Services: Tana Kelley
press@redfin.com
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