About us: Aurora Mobile (NASDAQ: JG) established in 2011, is a
leading customer engagement and marketing technology service
provider in China. Its business
includes notification services, marketing growth, development
tools, and data products. As its sub-brand, MoonFox Data is a
leading expert in data insights and analysis services across all
scenarios, aiming to help companies gain market insights and
empower precise decision-making.
CHENGDU,
China, March 14, 2024 /PRNewswire/ --
Recently, Luckin Coffee has unveiled its annual financial
report for 2023, revealing a total revenue of RMB 24.9 billion, with the year-over-year growth
of 87.3%. According to the Generally Accepted Accounting Principles
(GAAP) in the United States, in
2023, the operating profit of Luckin Coffee amounts to RMB 3.026 billion, which is twice the size of
RMB 1.55 billion in 2022. However,
its operating profit margin has increased from 8.7% in 2022 to
12.1% in 2023. From the perspective of sales revenue, Luckin Coffee
has emerged as the largest chain coffee brand in the Chinese
market. It maintains a relatively stable growth in profits while
rapidly expanding. In the realm of exotic coffee imports, how does
the domestic brand Luckin Coffee surpass its competitors and
establish itself as an unparalleled champion in the coffee
industry? In this article, MoonFox Data will conduct
multi-dimensional analysis on the online and offline operation data
of Luckin Coffee, list key factors facilitating its business
growth, and analyze its growth potential.
I. Expand rapidly and leverage the advantages of "large-scale
shops" to seize market share
According to MoonFox iBrand data, the year 2023 witnessed that
Luckin Coffee continued expanding its offline stores at a growth
rate of 30%-50%. As of the end of December
2023, the number of operational stores nationwide of Luckin
Coffee had exceeded 11,000, achieving an increase of over 3,300
stores compared to the same period last year. In the ongoing trend
of expanding coffee market education, the primary strategy for
Luckin Coffee is to open more new stores to meet consumer demand
and create scale effect, in order to enhance brand influence and
capture market shares.
Number of offline operating stores for Luckin Coffee in
December 2023
|
Number of offline
operating stores
|
YoY Growth
|
December
2022
|
7,907
|
33.11 %
|
December
2023
|
11,273
|
42.57 %
|
Data Source: MoonFox iBrand; Data retrieval cycle:
2022.12-2023.12
With the rapid expansion of retail network, the average
passenger flow index of Luckin Coffee stores is relatively stable.
By the end of December 2023, the
national passenger flow index of Luckin Coffee's stores had
increased by over 100% year-on-year, with the average passenger
flow index of stores growing by 40%. The average passenger flow
index of store, to a great extent, reflects operational efficiency
of brand stores as a whole. It indicates stores of Luckin Coffee
experience healthy operational state in the past year, and there is
still potential for expansion and growth in the future.
Changes to average passenger flow index at Luckin Coffee
stores in 2023
|
Average flow index of
store
|
YoY Growth
|
March 2023
|
93
|
47.62 %
|
June 2023
|
102
|
45.71 %
|
September
2023
|
127
|
73.97 %
|
December
2023
|
116
|
41.46 %
|
Data Source: MoonFox iBrand; Data retrieval cycle:
2023.03-2023.12
II. Continuously design popular signature product+low-cost
strategy, broaden target audience, and attract potential customers
to re-purchase
Luckin Coffee has officially announced that it launched a total
of 102 new products in 2023, with sales expected to exceed 2
billion pieces. Among them, Eight SKUs had reached a sales volume
of over 1 billion, including the popular Coconut Latte, Moutai
Jiangxiang Flavored Latte, and Velvet Latte with high repurchase
rates. As a local brand, Luckin Coffee excels at understanding the
tastes and preferences of local population. Its successful
signature products are widely recognized in market, and varieties
of SKU can meet the diverse taste preferences of different consumer
groups. In addition, it has launched long-term promotional campaign
of "Weekly Discount of RMB 9.9" from
May 2023, which helped attract more
potential customers to repurchase products over the past year. The
data from the Moon Fox iAPP indicates that since September 2023, the daily active users of Luckin
Coffee app have maintained a rapid growth. By the end of 2023, the
average daily active users (DAU) were maintained at over 2.4
million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 78%.
Changes in average daily active users (DAU) ofLuckin Coffee
app in 2023
|
Average monthly DAU
(unit: 10,000)
|
YoY Growth
|
January 2023
|
153.41
|
39.71 %
|
February
2023
|
175.04
|
38.44 %
|
March 2023
|
182.52
|
32.50 %
|
April, 2023
|
195.33
|
13.77 %
|
May 2023
|
212.93
|
23.98 %
|
June 2023
|
235.38
|
22.62 %
|
July 2023
|
227.32
|
29.91 %
|
August 2023
|
221.55
|
29.90 %
|
September
2023
|
301.48
|
77.91 %
|
October 2023
|
290.47
|
61.57 %
|
November
2023
|
265.80
|
43.75 %
|
December
2023
|
241.11
|
78.48 %
|
Data Source: MoonFox iApp; Data retrieval cycle:
2023.01-2023.12
In the past year, there have been significant changes in the
customer base of Luckin Coffee. In December
2023, the proportion of customers aged 36-45 increased by 6%
compared to the same period of last year. This indicates that
Luckin Coffee is quickly catering to ideas of "non-coffee core
customers" and converting them into brand users. At the same time,
the proportion of moderate consumption level consumers went
up by 9%. In summary, "expanding the consumer base" is a key
strategy for Luckin Coffee to develop business.
Age distribution of Luckin Coffee users in 2022 and
2023
|
December
2022
|
December
2023
|
Aged 25 and
under
|
33.23 %
|
28.63 %
|
Aged 26-35
|
32.26 %
|
34.26 %
|
Aged
36-45
|
18.46 %
|
24.51 %
|
Aged 46 and
above
|
16.04 %
|
12.60 %
|
Data Source: MoonFox iBrand; Data retrieval cycle: 2022.12,
2023.12
Consumption level of Luckin Coffee users in 2022 and
2023
|
December
2022
|
December
2023
|
Low
consumption
|
34.38 %
|
28.70 %
|
Moderate
consumption
|
26.56 %
|
35.40 %
|
High
consumption
|
39.06 %
|
35.90 %
|
Data Source: MoonFox iBrand; Data retrieval cycle: 2022.12,
2023.12
III. Active marketing strengthens customer's mind, and
social media interaction "attracts" young users
The financial report of Luckin Coffee shows that the sales and
marketing expenses in Q3 and Q4 of 2023 have increased by 141.3%
and 130% respectively compared with the same period in 2022. Over
the past year, Luckin Coffee enormously has established customer
base in terms of co-branding, new product promotion, celebrity
endorsements, and marketing investment in event sponsorship. In
addition to conventional and traditional marketing methods, Luckin
Coffee excels at leveraging social media platforms to amplify its
brand presence. It closes the distance with users by interacting
with them on social media platforms. Through user-generated content
to expand spreading scope, it hopes to establish a youthful brand
image to capture minds of younger consumers and forge an emotional
connection with them. Specifically, in October 2023, Luckin Coffee collaborated with the
Tom and Jerry in coffee cup sleeves and other peripheral
products, which sparked a wave of creative DIY transformations
among netizens. This DIY trend was even popular on social media
platforms like Xiaohongshu, causing significant exposure and
engagement.
Ⅳ. Can Luckin Coffee sustain its leading position
as the "top coffee brand" in China
in the future?
Luckin Coffee expresses its plans in 2024 to continue expanding
stores in high-line cities, and to accelerate business expansion in
low-tier cities by means of interconnected operations, in order to
increase its market share. It is expected that Luckin Coffee will
have more than 20,000 stores by 2024. According to MoonFox iBrand
data, the proportion of Luckin Coffee's stores in third-tier cities
and below rises by 9% in 2023. It sets small number of stores in
fourth and fifth-tier cities, but their average passenger traffic
index of store is high, indicating strong development potential for
store expansion. Therefore, Luckin Coffee may further expand market
share by opening stores in lower-tier cities.
Geographical distribution of Luckin Coffee stores in 2022 and
2023
|
December
2022
|
December
2023
|
First-tier
cities
|
15.34 %
|
19.54 %
|
New first-tier
cities
|
33.69 %
|
24.31 %
|
Second-tier
cities
|
24.84 %
|
21.15 %
|
Third-tier
cities
|
15.97 %
|
19.04 %
|
Fourth-tier
cities
|
8.13 %
|
11.05 %
|
Fifth-tier
cities
|
2.02 %
|
4.91 %
|
Data Source: MoonFox iBrand; Data retrieval cycle: 2022.12,
2023.12
Operating status of Luckin Coffee stores in various regions
in January 2024
City level
|
Stores in
operation
|
Average passenger flow
index
|
First-tier
cities
|
2469
|
103
|
New first-tier
cities
|
3066
|
103
|
Second-tier
cities
|
2671
|
101
|
Third-tier
cities
|
2506
|
116
|
Fourth-tier
cities
|
1482
|
109
|
Fifth-tier
cities
|
641
|
117
|
Data Source: MoonFox iBrand; Data retrieval cycle:
2024.01
However, for Luckin Coffee, its future journey is still
challenging, with ever-evolving market competition landscape,
intense competition from rivals, the emergence of new products and
novel competitive tactic, and changing taste and demands of
consumers. In response to these challenges, Luckin Coffee must
actively consolidate its advantages in product development, supply
chain management, distribution channels, and brand assets, in order
to maintain leading position amidst the intense competition.
Aurora-Moonfox consistently monitors industry development and
regularly tracks corporate performance. The following is our
research report on industry hotspots:
- 《Image-Text Content, Hot Items, and Seeding Drive the Rapid
Growth of RED Community》;
- 《Tencent focuses on the WeChat ecosystem and leverages
mini-programs to create the second growth curve》;
- 《NetEase Q3 Financial Report Game-driven Multi-segment
Growth》;
- 《Ctrip achieved multiple-fold revenue growth in Q3, surviving
through the harsh winter amidst industry recovery》
If you need a report, please contact us to obtain it.
Website: https://www.moonfox.cn/
Contact number: 400-888-0936
Name: Felix
Title: Director of Sales, Industry Insight Division
Tel: +86 -13366276383
Email: zhouzt@jiguang.cn
Address: 608/F, Tower B, Wintrust Center, No. 1 Xidawang Road,
Chaoyang District, Beijing,
China
Name: Silvia
Title: Senior Marketing Manager
Tel: +86-13691629681
Email: zhangkx1@jiguang.cn
Address: 608/F, Tower B, Wintrust Center, No. 1 Xidawang Road,
Chaoyang District, Beijing,
China
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SOURCE Aurora